Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.029004 0.031271 0.033544 0.035988 0.038539 0.041121 0.043927
2025-10-05 0.025133 0.028900 0.032819 0.037183 0.041888 0.046794 0.052277
2025-10-12 0.021880 0.026526 0.031506 0.037201 0.043493 0.050195 0.057834
2025-10-19 0.019474 0.024724 0.030500 0.037253 0.044860 0.053100 0.062636
2025-10-26 0.018314 0.024153 0.030714 0.038519 0.047446 0.057240 0.068702
2025-11-02 0.016758 0.022972 0.030101 0.038729 0.048741 0.059858 0.073006
2025-11-09 0.015276 0.021754 0.029340 0.038672 0.049646 0.061969 0.076681
2025-11-16 0.013867 0.020520 0.028470 0.038403 0.050238 0.063665 0.079836
2025-11-23 0.012580 0.019346 0.027594 0.038059 0.050680 0.065141 0.082700
2025-11-30 0.011508 0.018373 0.026904 0.037885 0.051278 0.066761 0.085699
2025-12-07 0.010298 0.017139 0.025821 0.037170 0.051178 0.067523 0.087667
2025-12-14 0.009105 0.015849 0.024601 0.036224 0.050747 0.067851 0.089092
2025-12-21 0.007966 0.014624 0.023491 0.035484 0.050673 0.068747 0.091377
2025-12-28 0.007626 0.014533 0.023900 0.036722 0.053110 0.072741 0.097453
2026-01-04 0.006881 0.013794 0.023394 0.036748 0.054015 0.074876 0.101314
2026-01-11 0.006220 0.013121 0.022936 0.036801 0.054925 0.077001 0.105154
2026-01-18 0.006005 0.013117 0.023393 0.038057 0.057366 0.081006 0.111275
2026-01-25 0.005491 0.012593 0.023085 0.038266 0.058446 0.083325 0.115348
2026-02-01 0.004947 0.011974 0.022604 0.038209 0.059162 0.085177 0.118845
2026-02-08 0.004399 0.011294 0.021993 0.037943 0.059580 0.086642 0.121856
2026-02-15 0.003884 0.010618 0.021351 0.037601 0.059875 0.087933 0.124643
2026-02-22 0.003457 0.010056 0.020848 0.037428 0.060374 0.089470 0.127724
2026-03-01 0.002955 0.009295 0.019993 0.036718 0.060127 0.090038 0.129587